What is arbitrage? Arbitrage is the simultaneous buying and selling of identical
financial instruments taking advantage of price discrepancies between different
brokers, exchanges, clearing firms, etc. and thus locking in a profit. On paper,
arbitrage is a risk-less trading strategy. In the real world however, risks
abound.
So why trade arbitrage? Well, if the risks can be managed, arbitrage can be
extremely profitable if you can find the opportunities and take advantage of the
opportunities before they disappear. After all, the arbitrage opportunity is
present because one side is slow to react to market news, momentum, etc. When it
corrects the opportunity is gone.
Why arbitrage forex options? Well, because the opportunity exists if you look
far it. The forex market is a cash inter-bank / inter-dealer market. In simplest
terms, this means the foreign currencies traded in the forex market are traded
directly between banks, foreign currency dealers and forex investors wishing
either to diversify, speculate or to hedge foreign currency risk. The forex
market is not a "market" in the traditional sense due to the fact that there is
no centralized location for forex trading activity and, therefore, trades placed
in the forex market are considered over-the-counter (OTC). Forex trading between
parties occurs through computer terminals, exchanges and over telephones at
thousands of locations worldwide.
Therefore the forex market is not as efficient as the NYSE for example. Price
discrepancies exist between trading platforms, clearing firms, banks, etc if
only for a small period of time. Options pricing is also affected for the same
reasons but since there are other components involved in pricing an option than
just the price of underlying currency, they tend to exist for longer periods of
time.
One of the most common causes of option pricing differences is the calculation
of volatility. Volatility is generally the standard deviation measured over a
period of time. Sounds simple enough right? Well, if compare the volatility
measure across different forex option providers, you'll likely find differences
as large as 2%. When you find this you have also probably found an arbitrage
opportunity.
Now that you've found an arbitrage opportunity, how do you trade it? Well,
that's a bit trickier and this article cannot possibly cover all the risks
associated with pulling off the trade but I will list some issues you should
consider.
First of all, are the options really the same? Are the contract sizes,
expiration dates and times the same? American or European style?
You also need to consider execution risk. Will there be slippage. Will there be
a time delay in getting filled. Is the market moving too fast?
Exit strategy, how are you going to exit the trade and still capture the profit?
What happens if the options expire in-the money? Out-of-the-money? What if you
get assigned a position on one option but not the other?
These are just a few of the issues one must consider when trying to profit from
option arbitrage. The key to option arbitrage is not unlike any other trade --
planning and risk management. Plan the trade, manage the risks, and execute the
plan and you will be successful.